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Politicshouse

Question

270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?

Live

Yes
5.0 % chance
No
95.0 % chance
$1.6K
24

Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 01:02 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 4, 2027 04:59 UTC

How many votes will Hakeem Jeffries get on first ballot? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.0 %chance
  • Yes 5.0¢ · No 95.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

18.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.0¢
Yes price now
13.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
41
Smart money
22

Top holders

  • Th…ewNo700
  • Re…ceNo463.5
  • l…bNo158
  • 2…SYes385
  • Gr…guYes152

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270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank