Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 15%-20%?
Live
Yes
98.0 % chance
No
2.0 % chance
$519.90
8
Trading opened Aug 10, 2026 16:05 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 98.0 %chance
- Yes 98.0¢ · No 2.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
98.0¢
Yes price now
94.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
7
Tagged holders
5
Top holders
- mr…deYes527.1
- Lu…ysNo197.1
- ba…arNo100
- mi…27No85
- go…94No85
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