Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?
Live
Yes
3.0 % chance
No
97.0 % chance
$636.22
26
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.0 %chance
- Yes 3.0¢ · No 97.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.0¢
Yes price now
2.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
40
Smart money
24
Top holders
- ri…eeNo100
- a…zNo66.4
- xt…meYes336.5
- Vi…axNo60
- pl…erNo60
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