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Politics · US elections

Question

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?

Live

Yes
3.0 % chance
No
97.0 % chance
$636.22
26

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.0 %chance
  • Yes 3.0¢ · No 97.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

5.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.0¢
Yes price now
2.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
40
Smart money
24

Top holders

  • ri…eeNo100
  • a…zNo66.4
  • xt…meYes336.5
  • Vi…axNo60
  • pl…erNo60

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Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank