Politics · Ukraine & Russia
Question
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
19.0 % chance
No
81.0 % chance
$3.5K
5
Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 12:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 19.0 %chance
- Yes 19.0¢ · No 81.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
18.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
19.0¢
Yes price now
0.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
4
Top holders
- be…s2No4,255
- Un…erYes4,764
- th…tsNo928.1
- Di…ioNo549.7
- lu…erNo222.2
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