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Tech · AIAI BenchmarksMax Chatbot Arena

Question

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

Live

Yes
50.5 % chance
No
49.5 % chance
$287.07
8

Trading opened Jan 2, 2026 18:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 50.5 %chance
  • Yes 50.5¢ · No 49.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

36.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
50.5¢
Yes price now
13.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • bi…rtNo2,928
  • In…owNo2,624
  • Ki…EnYes1,317
  • ik…rdYes889.1
  • du…osNo952

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Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank