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Weather · ClimateTemperature Increase

Question

Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in September 2026?

Yes
90.5 % chance
No
9.5 % chance
$493.52
3

Trading opened Aug 31, 2026 13:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 2, 2026 04:59 UTC

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 90.5 %chance
  • Yes 90.5¢ · No 9.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

68.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
90.5¢
Yes price now
21.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
2

Top holders

  • no…paYes498.9
  • ba…naYes160
  • Co…onYes124.7
  • 2…SNo300
  • A…VNo109.7

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Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in September 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank