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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will Iowa be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Live

Yes
15.2 % chance
No
84.8 % chance
$507.73
16

Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Closest Senate Race? → all 40 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 15.2 %chance
  • Yes 15.2¢ · No 84.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

18.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
15.2¢
Yes price now
3.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
23
Smart money
11

Top holders

  • re…26Yes500
  • ds…veYes399
  • Lu…ysNo100.9
  • go…26No85
  • ba…arNo70

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Will Iowa be the closest Senate race in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank