Politics · US electionsSenate
Question
Will Iowa be the closest Senate race in 2026?
Live
Yes
15.2 % chance
No
84.8 % chance
$507.73
16
Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 15.2 %chance
- Yes 15.2¢ · No 84.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
18.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
15.2¢
Yes price now
3.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
23
Smart money
11
Top holders
- re…26Yes500
- ds…veYes399
- Lu…ysNo100.9
- go…26No85
- ba…arNo70
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