Politics · US electionsOil
Question
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live
Yes
29.9 % chance
No
70.1 % chance
$70.90
2
Trading opened Oct 11, 2026 16:38 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80? → all 2 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 29.9 %chance
- Yes 29.9¢ · No 70.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
29.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
29.9¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
1
Top holders
- Do…orYes800
- An…82No501
- Lo…erNo460
- Re…ekNo270.9
- Sp…byYes200.9
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