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Finance · EquitiesSPY Daily Close U/O

Question

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 16?

Live · started Oct 15 21:00 UTC

Yes
5.1 % chance
No
94.9 % chance
$589.30
12

Trading opened Oct 15, 2026 12:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 20:00 UTC

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 16? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.1 %chance
  • Yes 5.1¢ · No 94.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

9.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.1¢
Yes price now
4.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
36
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • j…vNo279.4
  • tr…e1No199.7
  • gr…69Yes533
  • Fa…neNo105.3
  • Lu…omNo45

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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 16? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank