Politics · Ukraine & Russia
Question
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
2.8 % chance
No
97.2 % chance
$12.0K
9
Trading opened Jun 30, 2026 23:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.8 %chance
- Yes 2.8¢ · No 97.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.8¢
Yes price now
3.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
5
Top holders
- k…pNo68,555
- go…viNo30,892
- ke…itNo30,000
- Bu…reNo28,160
- D…KNo25,182
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