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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 1.5% or more?

Live

Yes
3.4 % chance
No
96.6 % chance
$299.54
12

Trading opened Nov 4, 2026 19:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 21, 2026 04:59 UTC

Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 14 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.4 %chance
  • Yes 3.4¢ · No 96.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.5¢
Yes price now
2.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
8

Top holders

  • ba…arNo80
  • Ju…reNo62
  • mi…27No60
  • A…2No46
  • gr…19No30

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 1.5% or more? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank