Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Texas?
Live
Yes
0.7 % chance
No
99.3 % chance
$136.79
9
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.7 %chance
- Yes 0.7¢ · No 99.3¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.7¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
7
Top holders
- a…zNo67.5
- pl…erNo30
- De…gsNo16.7
- We…ltNo16.7
- Gi…naNo12
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…