Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
Live
Yes
2.4 % chance
No
97.6 % chance
$736.00
20
Trading opened Sep 22, 2026 18:24 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 4, 2026 23:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.4 %chance
- Yes 2.4¢ · No 97.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
29.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.4¢
Yes price now
26.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
31
Smart money
18
Top holders
- t…aNo372.5
- Ki…ngNo200.9
- CD…esYes292.9
- Sh…teYes307.4
- sa…99Yes293.1
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