Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$244.59
12
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
8
Top holders
- a…zNo77.3
- pl…erNo60
- ri…eeNo50
- Lu…ysNo34.5
- xt…meYes160.1
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