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Politics · US elections

Question

Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan?

Live

Yes
2.5 % chance
No
97.5 % chance
$311.19
13

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.5 %chance
  • Yes 2.5¢ · No 97.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.5¢
Yes price now
1.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
22
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo95
  • Vi…axNo70
  • pl…erNo60
  • a…zNo40
  • Be…xeNo18

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Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank