Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan?
Live
Yes
2.5 % chance
No
97.5 % chance
$311.19
13
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.5 %chance
- Yes 2.5¢ · No 97.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.5¢
Yes price now
1.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
22
Smart money
7
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo95
- Vi…axNo70
- pl…erNo60
- a…zNo40
- Be…xeNo18
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