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Politics · US electionsmidterm

Question

Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?

Live

Yes
24.1 % chance
No
75.9 % chance
$1.6K
29

Trading opened Oct 21, 2026 22:19 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 03:59 UTC

AP calls the House by...? → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 24.1 %chance
  • Yes 24.1¢ · No 75.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

15.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
24.1¢
Yes price now
8.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
62
Smart money
25

Top holders

  • Zh…CDNo300
  • Th…meNo193.8
  • p…iNo150
  • th…ysNo153.6
  • xt…meYes280.5

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Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank