Politics · US electionsmidterm
Question
Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?
Live
Yes
24.1 % chance
No
75.9 % chance
$1.6K
29
Trading opened Oct 21, 2026 22:19 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 24.1 %chance
- Yes 24.1¢ · No 75.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
15.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
24.1¢
Yes price now
8.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
62
Smart money
25
Top holders
- Zh…CDNo300
- Th…meNo193.8
- p…iNo150
- th…ysNo153.6
- xt…meYes280.5
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