Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Live
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$185.41
9
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
6
Top holders
- gr…19No30
- mi…27No30
- Va…onNo22.9
- a…zNo21.7
- xt…meYes70
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