Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
Live
Yes
89.0 % chance
No
11.0 % chance
$82.4K
118
Trading opened Sep 29, 2026 16:28 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 89.0 %chance
- Yes 89.0¢ · No 11.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
84.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
88.5¢
Yes price now
4.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
370
Smart money
72
Top holders
- an…23Yes29,170
- AnonymousYes27,119
- As…raYes15,579
- me…ldNo36,009
- Lo…isYes8,943
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