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Politics · US electionsTrump

Question

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?

Live · starts 19:45 UTC

Yes
34.0 % chance
No
66.0 % chance
$909.63
36

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 23:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 14, 2026 19:50 UTC

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? → all 21 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 34.0 %chance
  • Yes 34.0¢ · No 66.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

41.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
34.0¢
Yes price now
7.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
36
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • He…55No443.6
  • Um…thNo400
  • -D…s-Yes379
  • j…vYes360.1
  • ri…moNo222.2

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Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank