Politics · Global elections
Question
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?
Live · starts 13:18 UTC
Yes
13.9 % chance
No
86.1 % chance
$4.6K
44
Trading opened Apr 30, 2026 00:03 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 13.9 %chance
- Yes 13.9¢ · No 86.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
31.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
13.9¢
Yes price now
17.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
107
Smart money
35
Top holders
- Ad…shNo1,686
- ba…arNo898.1
- 1w…usYes1,551
- Ry…21Yes1,162
- An…onYes722.5
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