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Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues

Question

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?

Live

Yes
94.7 % chance
No
5.3 % chance
$18.2K
50

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 22:54 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 04:59 UTC

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? → all 22 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 94.7 %chance
  • Yes 94.7¢ · No 5.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

94.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
94.4¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
81
Smart money
29

Top holders

  • cl…edYes10,519
  • Do…eZYes9,000
  • Fa…ngNo17,796
  • Fl…ngYes2,116
  • Th…erNo8,091

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US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank