Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Live
Yes
0.9 % chance
No
99.1 % chance
$195.01
10
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.9 %chance
- Yes 0.9¢ · No 99.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.9¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
6
Top holders
- a…zNo59
- pl…erNo30
- Im…ngNo22.9
- Pr…unNo16.7
- xt…meYes70
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