Politics · US politics
Question
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
Live
Yes
58.0 % chance
No
42.0 % chance
$2.4K
23
Trading opened Jun 30, 2026 16:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 58.0 %chance
- Yes 58.0¢ · No 42.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
39.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
58.0¢
Yes price now
18.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
30
Smart money
19
Top holders
- Im…enYes7,966
- Pa…aINo5,377
- c…xNo2,115
- Le…TWNo1,808
- Al…erNo1,774
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