Politics · Global elections
Question
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?
Live · starts 13:18 UTC
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$2.5K
37
Trading opened Apr 30, 2026 00:03 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
7.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
64
Smart money
32
Top holders
- ba…arNo801.6
- Vi…axNo329.4
- Vi…ulYes1,073
- Li…ueNo200.5
- Ry…21Yes577.7
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