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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live · starts Nov 3 12:00 UTC

Yes
12.6 % chance
No
87.4 % chance
$1.2K
11

Trading opened Dec 19, 2025 02:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 12.6 %chance
  • Yes 12.6¢ · No 87.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

14.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
12.6¢
Yes price now
2.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
9

Top holders

  • Ag…roYes1,604
  • Tu…asYes1,954
  • Pr…ieNo662.6
  • an…29No500
  • Sm…lyNo483.4

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Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank