Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Live
Yes
13.0 % chance
No
87.0 % chance
$407.23
26
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 13.0 %chance
- Yes 13.0¢ · No 87.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
8.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
13.0¢
Yes price now
4.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
46
Smart money
20
Top holders
- Vi…axNo70
- a…zNo66.4
- xt…meYes181.5
- pl…erNo60
- Gu…erNo28.8
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