Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$282.24
16
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
1.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
12
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo74.6
- Vi…axNo70
- C…MNo30
- pl…erNo30
- a…zNo21.7
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