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Tech · AIAI BenchmarksMax Chatbot Arena

Question

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

Open, no trades in the last 24 h

Yes
4.0 % chance
No
96.0 % chance
$0.00
0

Trading opened Feb 12, 2026 19:34 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 4.0 %chance
  • Yes 4.0¢ · No 96.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

18.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.0¢
Yes price now
14.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
0
Smart money
0

Top holders

  • bi…rtNo616.9
  • Ba…ouNo132.9
  • th…ysNo111.6
  • pa…r1No95.2
  • a…dYes140

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Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank