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Politicshouse

Question

255-259 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?

Live

Yes
32.0 % chance
No
68.0 % chance
$818.87
21

Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 01:02 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 4, 2027 04:59 UTC

How many votes will Hakeem Jeffries get on first ballot? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 32.0 %chance
  • Yes 32.0¢ · No 68.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

18.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
32.0¢
Yes price now
13.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
39
Smart money
16

Top holders

  • Th…ewYes435
  • Re…ceNo350
  • l…bNo158
  • AnonymousYes100
  • tr…e1Yes91.5

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255-259 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank