Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?
Live
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$271.37
14
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
0.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
8
Top holders
- a…zNo77.3
- Vi…axNo50
- qu…elNo30
- pl…erNo30
- Un…erNo16.7
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