Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
Live
Yes
43.0 % chance
No
57.0 % chance
$10.0K
34
Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 13:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 23, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 43.0 %chance
- Yes 43.0¢ · No 57.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
43.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
43.0¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
62
Smart money
23
Top holders
- cl…edYes37,105
- Pa…iaNo23,290
- pa…aaNo11,059
- Bi…yGYes11,851
- Co…chNo3,458
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