Weather · ClimateTemperature Increase
Question
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.30ºC in September 2026?
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$1.8K
5
Trading opened Aug 31, 2026 13:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 2, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
5.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
4
Top holders
- no…paNo1,606
- Co…onNo235.6
- S…fYes1,326
- gm…mgNo83.9
- lu…otNo76.1
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…