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Weather · Earthquakes6.5 Earthquake Weekly

Question

Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Live

Yes
38.6 % chance
No
61.4 % chance
$755.70
20

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 13:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 23:59 UTC

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 38.6 %chance
  • Yes 38.6¢ · No 61.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

10.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
38.6¢
Yes price now
27.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
39
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • Ki…ngNo832.8
  • Op…ntYes161
  • A…VYes324.2
  • sk…86Yes120
  • Ir…hyYes100

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Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank