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Weather · Earthquakes5.5 Earthquake

Question

Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Live

Yes
9.0 % chance
No
91.0 % chance
$169.40
8

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 13:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 23:59 UTC

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 9.0 %chance
  • Yes 9.0¢ · No 91.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

11.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.5¢
Yes price now
2.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
6

Top holders

  • Cr…amNo80.5
  • Vi…axNo70
  • e…3No60
  • No…otYes61.2
  • go…33No20

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Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank