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Weather · Natural disasterswater

Question

Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?

Live

Yes
3.2 % chance
No
96.8 % chance
$692.14
11

Trading opened Aug 17, 2026 21:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 16, 2027 03:59 UTC

How low will Lake Powell drop? → all 4 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.2 %chance
  • Yes 3.2¢ · No 96.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

21.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.2¢
Yes price now
18.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • mo…yyYes1,700
  • do…meNo748.1
  • Ju…reNo572.2
  • Ho…erYes745.3
  • ci…esNo400

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Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank