Politics · Geopolitics
Question
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
Open, no trades in the last 24 h
Yes
8.6 % chance
No
91.4 % chance
$0.00
0
Trading opened Jan 4, 2026 17:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 8.6 %chance
- Yes 8.6¢ · No 91.4¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.2¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
0
Smart money
0
Top holders
- Ar…lyNo2,079
- in…thNo1,357
- P…pYes4,447
- fl…erNo829.1
- av…toNo787.7
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…