Politics · Global elections
Question
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?
Live · starts 13:18 UTC
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$378.90
13
Trading opened Apr 30, 2026 00:03 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
8.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
8.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
19
Smart money
11
Top holders
- sm…ptNo105.8
- an…inNo83.9
- gr…19No81.8
- xt…meYes208.3
- Hi…eyNo60
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