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Politics · US electionsUnited States

Question

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Live · starts Nov 7 12:00 UTC

Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$53.99
4

Trading opened Jul 11, 2025 19:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 → all 128 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.4 %chance
  • Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
3.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • pi…esYes1,638,333
  • Fo…26Yes59,778
  • Ma…ntYes50,000
  • pa…aaYes51,667
  • Je…mYYes40,000

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Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank