Politics · Economy & the FedFed
Question
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
19.5 % chance
No
80.5 % chance
$5.8K
12
Trading opened Sep 17, 2026 15:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 19.5 %chance
- Yes 19.5¢ · No 80.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
23.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
19.5¢
Yes price now
4.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
25
Smart money
10
Top holders
- sm…ieNo6,903
- Th…meYes10,142
- te…seNo3,304
- gr…inNo1,903
- Al…sVNo1,333
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