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Politics · Middle EastFund

Question

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Live

Yes
14.5 % chance
No
85.5 % chance
$39.2K
7

Trading opened Jun 24, 2026 15:33 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 14.5 %chance
  • Yes 14.5¢ · No 85.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

25.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
14.5¢
Yes price now
10.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
3

Top holders

  • Ar…lyNo7,043
  • Sk…ssNo3,545
  • Wa…ttYes8,809
  • de…zzYes3,616
  • ho…stNo1,772

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Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank