Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?
Live
Yes
33.5 % chance
No
66.5 % chance
$3.8K
20
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 13:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 33.5 %chance
- Yes 33.5¢ · No 66.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
55.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
33.5¢
Yes price now
21.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
13
Top holders
- 12…tyYes5,354
- Gl…s7No3,608
- Ga…ioNo2,280
- Ha…thYes1,454
- ne…89Yes1,190
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