Politics · Global elections
Question
Will the Labour Party win 50-54 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Live · starts 12:34 UTC
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$536.20
16
Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
1.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
28
Smart money
15
Top holders
- Ad…stNo79
- il…evNo75.6
- Co…itNo66.4
- xi…ngYes350
- gr…22No52.4
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