Weather · Earthquakes5.5 Earthquake
Question
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$1.9K
25
Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 13:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 23:59 UTC
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
34.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
34.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
49
Smart money
19
Top holders
- Ki…ngNo1,963
- A…VYes1,724
- Ye…rrNo280.5
- jo…91No229.4
- R…lYes216.8
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