Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Live
Yes
6.3 % chance
No
93.7 % chance
$444.95
24
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 6.3 %chance
- Yes 6.3¢ · No 93.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
4.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.3¢
Yes price now
1.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
46
Smart money
20
Top holders
- Vi…axNo70
- a…zNo66.4
- xt…meYes337.6
- pl…erNo60
- Lu…ysNo40.1
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