Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
6.5 % chance
No
93.5 % chance
$2.3K
18
Trading opened May 21, 2026 17:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 6.5 %chance
- Yes 6.5¢ · No 93.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
26.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.5¢
Yes price now
19.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
20
Smart money
8
Top holders
- Du…MFYes21,050
- Gl…s7No14,579
- Ga…ioNo6,398
- Jo…01No6,541
- Cr…GoYes8,832
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