Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 25%-30%?
Live
Yes
0.9 % chance
No
99.1 % chance
$41.11
4
Trading opened Aug 10, 2026 16:05 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.9 %chance
- Yes 0.9¢ · No 99.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
22.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.9¢
Yes price now
21.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Tagged holders
2
Top holders
- fl…efNo310.5
- xt…meYes437.4
- Lu…ysNo197.1
- K8…ROYes250
- gr…19No100
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