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World · Economy & the FedRBNZReserve Bank of New Zealand Decision

Question

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

Live

Yes
16.5 % chance
No
83.5 % chance
$7.9K
36

Trading opened Oct 30, 2026 00:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Mar 17, 2027 23:59 UTC

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 16.5 %chance
  • Yes 16.5¢ · No 83.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

19.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
16.5¢
Yes price now
3.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
218
Smart money
26

Top holders

  • sp…erNo2,800
  • po…odNo1,632
  • g…1Yes3,143
  • xt…meYes606.4
  • l…bNo173

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Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank