Pop CultureWeather & Science
Question
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Live
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$0.24
2
Trading opened Nov 12, 2025 22:45 UTC · Eligible for resolution Mar 2, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
15.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
15.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- in…thNo9,890
- do…meNo8,032
- Vi…axNo4,935
- Ar…lyYes6,012
- e…3No3,993
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