Tech · ScienceMeasles
Question
Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
75.0 % chance
No
25.0 % chance
$672.64
15
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 14:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 75.0 %chance
- Yes 75.0¢ · No 25.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
23.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
75.0¢
Yes price now
51.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
22
Smart money
10
Top holders
- b3…5tYes385.8
- A…VNo234.2
- AnonymousNo144.7
- Y4…olNo110
- S…fYes146
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