Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$131.30
10
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
0.0¢
Holders paid the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
6
Top holders
- a…zNo59
- sm…ptNo30
- Ea…gsNo22.9
- Cl…elNo16.7
- xt…meYes70
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